Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the pressure on profitability was concentrated in Q2, and there is a focus on increasing product channels during the peak season [7] - The company achieved a revenue of 76.04 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 0.8%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.76 billion yuan, down 15.8% year-on-year [7] - The report notes that the company is experiencing a decline in gross margin due to rising raw material costs and increased promotional activities, with a Q2 gross margin of 18.0%, down 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [7] - New product launches and channel expansions are expected to drive revenue growth in the second half of the year, particularly with the introduction of higher-margin products [7] - The report has adjusted the profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 14.3 billion yuan, 16.2 billion yuan, and 19.1 billion yuan respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio of 18, 16, and 13 times [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 14,045 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 15.29% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 1,478 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.24% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is forecasted to be 4.43 yuan per share [1] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 17,375 million yuan in 2024, with a projected increase to 21,551 million yuan by 2027 [8] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio of 70% for the mid-year distribution [7]
安井食品(603345):Q2盈利端压力集中释放,关注旺季产品渠道增量