Suzhou Centec (SH:688702) Ping An Securities·2025-08-26 06:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" (maintained) with a target price of 141 CNY per share [1]. Core Views - The company has seen a significant improvement in gross margin in Q2, with high-end flagship chips gradually entering the application stage. The overall gross margin reached 46.70%, an increase of 9.24 percentage points year-on-year [6][7]. - The company reported a revenue of 5.08 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.56% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -0.24 billion CNY, indicating a reduction in losses [3][6]. - The company is focusing on high-end product lines, with products covering a range of switching capacities from 100Gbps to 25.6Tbps, and is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the AI and data center markets [6][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.85 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 2.53% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.78%. The net profit for the quarter was -0.08 billion CNY, showing an improvement of 83.29% year-on-year [6]. - The company’s gross margin and net margin for Q2 were 48.77% and -2.98%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.74 percentage points and 15.31 percentage points [6]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 12.75 billion CNY, 17.14 billion CNY, and 21.98 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-sales (P/S) ratios of 45.3X, 33.7X, and 26.3X [7]. - The company is expected to achieve profitability by 2026, with a projected net profit of 60 million CNY and 125 million CNY in 2027 [8][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is recognized as a rare Ethernet switch chip design enterprise in China, with a rich product lineup targeting the mid-to-high-end market. The demand for high-speed network communication devices is expected to rise due to the explosion of the AI industry [6][7]. - The company is benefiting from the trend towards domestic production and has established a first-mover advantage in the market, which is expected to enhance its market share in the future [7].