Workflow
鲁西化工(000830):营收稳健增长,盈利水平有望触底回升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [3][8]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 5% in H1 2025, achieving a total revenue of 14.74 billion yuan. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 34.8% year-on-year to 760 million yuan, indicating short-term pressure on profitability [4][5]. - The company's three main business segments—chemical new materials, basic chemicals, and fertilizer products—reported revenues of 9.74 billion, 2.96 billion, and 1.78 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.4%, 5.1%, and 22.4% [5]. - The report highlights that the decline in product prices due to supply-demand dynamics has impacted overall gross and net profit margins, which are at 12.9% and 5.2% respectively, down by 5.1 and 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [5]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 14.74 billion yuan, with a net profit of 760 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline compared to the previous year [4]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 7.45 billion yuan, with a net profit of 350 million yuan, indicating a quarter-on-quarter decline of 41.9% [4]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 1.85 billion, 2.78 billion, and 3.63 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14, 9, and 7 times based on the closing price of 13.27 yuan on August 25 [8][10]. Market Data - As of August 25, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock was 13.27 yuan, with a market capitalization of 25.348 billion yuan [2]. - The stock has seen a year-to-date high of 13.76 yuan and a low of 9.59 yuan [2]. - The company has a total of 1.91 billion circulating A-shares, representing a market value of 25.268 billion yuan [2].