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嘉元科技(688388):产销双旺,持续布局高附加值产品

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 3.963 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 63.55%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 36.7541 million RMB, up 134.94% year-over-year [1][2] - The copper foil production reached approximately 41,400 tons, a year-over-year increase of 72.46%, with sales of 40,700 tons, up 63.01% year-over-year [2] - The company is optimistic about the second half of the year, driven by a recovery in the lithium battery industry and an increase in demand for high-value-added products [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.982 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 32.75% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.07% [1] - The net profit for Q2 was 12.2977 million RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 121.42% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 49.72% [1] Production and Capacity - The company has a production capacity utilization rate exceeding 90% as of the end of H1 2025, with plans to increase production to meet a target of over 100,000 tons for the year [2] - The company is expanding its production lines for high-end electronic circuit copper foil, with a planned total capacity of 35,000 tons, of which over 10,000 tons are already in production [3] Business Diversification - The company is diversifying its business by developing high-performance precision copper wire and expanding into photovoltaic energy storage [4] - The company is also exploring new growth areas such as AI computing, semiconductors, and robotics, potentially through mergers and acquisitions [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 115.26 million RMB, 258.52 million RMB, and 407.41 million RMB, respectively [5] - The target price for the company is set at 35.73 RMB, based on a price-to-book ratio of 2.17 for 2025 [5][9]