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盘江股份(600395):电力板块逐步放量,煤电一体化成长未来可期

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the integration of coal and electricity sectors, with significant growth potential in the future [5][6][8] - The company's coal production and sales have recovered, although profit margins have been impacted by market conditions [5] - The electricity segment has shown remarkable performance, with substantial increases in power generation and operational capacity [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.152 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.34%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 0.05 billion yuan, down 113.67% year-on-year [1] - The company's cash flow from operating activities was 0.308 billion yuan, up 184.55% year-on-year [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported a single-quarter operating revenue of 2.670 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.35% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.58% [2] Coal Production and Sales - The company produced 5.1537 million tons of coal in the first half of 2025, an increase of 15.27% compared to 4.471 million tons in the same period of 2024 [5] - Coal sales reached 5.1011 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.32% [5] - The average selling price of coal decreased by 22% year-on-year to 649 yuan per ton [5] Electricity Generation - The company has accelerated the development of its electricity segment, with a total installed capacity of 2.64 million kilowatts from thermal power plants [5] - The total power generation in the first half of 2025 reached 713,117 million kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 380.01% [5] - The electricity business's gross profit margin increased significantly from approximately 18% in the first half of 2024 to 44% in the first half of 2025 [5] Future Outlook - The company plans to expand its coal production capacity significantly, with existing capacity at 22.2 million tons per year and additional projects under development [5][6] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the Southwest coal market, with substantial potential for asset injections from its parent company [6][8] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.24 billion yuan, 4.36 billion yuan, and 6.17 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]