CNCEC(SH:601117) HTSC·2025-08-26 07:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 90.72 billion RMB for H1 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 0.35%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.10 billion RMB, an increase of 9.26% year-over-year [1]. - The company has seen strong growth in overseas revenue, with a 28.8% year-over-year increase, while domestic revenue decreased by 8.9% [2]. - The company has increased its mid-term dividend payout ratio to 19.7%, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved a comprehensive gross margin of 9.86%, a year-over-year increase of 0.11 percentage points [2]. - The revenue breakdown for H1 2025 includes chemical engineering at 74.8 billion RMB, infrastructure at 9.1 billion RMB, environmental governance at 0.5 billion RMB, industrial and new materials at 4.8 billion RMB, and modern services at 0.8 billion RMB [2]. - The company’s operating cash flow was negative 10 billion RMB, primarily due to a decrease in net funds from the financial company's repurchase business [3]. Order and Project Development - The company signed new orders totaling 206.1 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 1.2%, with the chemical sector contributing 160 billion RMB, up 6.5% year-over-year [4]. - The company has actively pursued high-value projects, including coal-to-olefins and coal-to-oil projects [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 6.126 billion RMB, 6.473 billion RMB, and 6.810 billion RMB respectively [5]. - The target price has been adjusted to 11.03 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 11x for 2025 [5].