AVIC SAC(SH:600760) Minsheng Securities·2025-08-26 08:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its strong competitive position in the aerospace defense sector [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 146.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-over-year decline of 32.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.4 billion yuan, down 29.8% year-over-year, which aligns with expectations [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 87.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.5% year-over-year, with a net profit of 7.1 billion yuan, down 21.8% year-over-year. Despite these declines, the company's profitability remained stable, with a net profit margin increase of 0.5 percentage points to 8.0% in Q2 2025 [1][2]. - The company successfully raised 4 billion yuan through a private placement to support the development of its aviation weaponry and equipment, enhancing its position in the modern aerospace industry [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company experienced a significant drop in revenue and net profit, with a gross margin of 12.3%, down 0.3 percentage points year-over-year. However, the net profit margin improved to 7.7%, reflecting effective cost management [1][3]. - The company’s operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 30.9 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, compared to a negative cash flow of 58.9 billion yuan in the same period of 2024 [3]. - The company’s contract liabilities increased by 113% year-over-year, indicating a strong order backlog and future revenue potential [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 34.2 billion yuan, 40.63 billion yuan, and 47.89 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are estimated at 53x, 45x, and 38x [4][5].