Workflow
钧达股份(002865):亏损略超预告中值,供给侧改革确定性提高

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Junda Co., Ltd. (002865 CH), with a target price raised to RMB 57.70, indicating a potential upside of 16.1% from the current price of RMB 49.68 [9][10][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight loss exceeding the forecast median, with a 2Q25 loss of RMB 158 million, attributed to a decline in battery prices and a decrease in overseas revenue share [2][10]. - The government has increased the certainty of supply-side reforms in the photovoltaic industry, aiming to regulate competition and eliminate below-cost sales practices [10]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the U.S. market due to its unique production capacity in the Middle East, with a joint venture expected to commence exports to the U.S. early next year [10]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company show a significant decline in 2024 to RMB 9,952 million, followed by a gradual recovery to RMB 15,397 million by 2027 [16]. - The net profit is expected to turn positive in 2026, reaching RMB 1,427 million, with a projected earnings per share of RMB 4.88 [16]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately RMB 11,085.10 million, with a 52-week high of RMB 80.40 and a low of RMB 34.80 [4]. Performance Metrics - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve significantly by 2026, with a net profit margin of 11.2% anticipated [18]. - The price-to-earnings ratio is expected to decrease from 13.9 in 2023 to 8.4 by 2027, indicating a more attractive valuation over time [16]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to recover to 25.8% by 2027, reflecting improved profitability [18].