AHHL(SH:600761) CAITONG SECURITIES·2025-08-26 10:39Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 9.39 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.18%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 796 million yuan, a decrease of 4.6% year-on-year. The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1 yuan per 10 shares (including tax) [7] - In the second quarter, the company saw a revenue of 5.116 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.89%, and a net profit of 474 million yuan, up 9.8% year-on-year. The gross margin improved to 24.64%, an increase of 2.19 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company is actively expanding its smart logistics business, which has become a new growth engine for performance. Strategic business segments such as "components, aftermarket, and smart logistics" saw year-on-year growth of 16.4%, 15.3%, and 59.1%, respectively [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue forecast (in million yuan): - 2023A: 17,156 - 2024A: 17,325 - 2025E: 18,785 - 2026E: 20,484 - 2027E: 22,493 - Net profit forecast (in million yuan): - 2023A: 1,317 - 2024A: 1,320 - 2025E: 1,455 - 2026E: 1,682 - 2027E: 1,952 - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 1.63 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 11.6 [6][8] Market Position and Growth - The company’s forklift sales reached 204,200 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.23%. Domestic sales were 126,200 units, up 11.28%, while overseas sales were 73,600 units, up 23.08% [7] - The overseas revenue accounted for over 40% of total revenue, with a significant increase in the proportion of electric forklifts, which now represent 68% of total sales, an increase of 2.5 percentage points from the end of the previous year [7]