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钧达股份(002865):盈利短期承压,海外产能多元布局

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's short-term profitability is under pressure, but it is expanding its overseas production capacity [1] - The company has experienced a significant increase in overseas sales, which accounted for 51.87% of total sales in H1 2025, doubling from 2024 [8] - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement through technological research and development [8] - The company has reported a positive operating cash flow and a significant decrease in inventory levels [8] - The profit forecast has been adjusted downwards due to intensified industry competition and low pricing, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 being -3.9 billion, 7.6 billion, and 13.1 billion respectively [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 18,657 million, with a year-on-year growth of 60.90% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is expected to be 815.64 million, with a year-on-year increase of 13.77% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 2.79 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 17.82 [1] - The company’s operating cash flow for H1 2025 is reported at 1.6 billion, a decrease of 70.8% year-on-year [8] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 17,503 million by 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 76.38% [9]