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天坛生物(600161):Q2业绩环比改善,新品种有望持续迭代

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [18]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.11 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.47%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.88% to 633 million yuan [2][6]. - The second quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 1.793 billion yuan, up 10.7% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 388 million yuan, down 5.13% [2][6]. - The company continues to lead in the domestic market with 107 blood plasma collection stations, achieving a collection volume of 1,361 tons, maintaining a market share of approximately 20% [4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 45.4% in the first half of 2025, down 10.3 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 20.3%, down 5.2 percentage points [6]. - For the second quarter of 2025, the gross margin was 45.1%, and the net profit margin was 21.7% [6]. - The company has maintained effective control over various expense ratios, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios reported at 1.94%, 7.49%, 1.83%, and -0.03% respectively for the first half of 2025 [6]. Product Performance - The company’s albumin product line generated revenue of 1.345 billion yuan, up 20.8%, while the immunoglobulin product line achieved revenue of 1.427 billion yuan, up 6.6% [3]. - Other blood products saw a revenue decline of 13.2% to 328 million yuan, with a gross margin of 43.29%, down 14.78 percentage points [3]. Research and Development - The company continues to invest heavily in R&D, with new products expected to drive steady growth. Notable developments include the approval of a new 10% concentration immunoglobulin product and ongoing clinical trials for several other products [5]. Profit Forecast and Investment Suggestion - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is 1.51 billion yuan for 2025, 1.76 billion yuan for 2026, and 2.08 billion yuan for 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 27, 23, and 20 times [6][11]. - The company is recognized as a leader in the blood products industry, with strong capabilities in plasma station acquisition and integration, alongside ongoing product development [6].