KINGSWOOD EDUCATION(SZ:300192) Xinda Securities·2025-08-26 14:17Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's education revenue slightly declined in the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 366 million yuan, a decrease of 1.15% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 53.28 million yuan, down 15.16% year-on-year [2] - The report maintains a net profit forecast of 161 million yuan for 2025, with a corresponding PE valuation of 54x. The company is expected to benefit from the capital operations related to its investment in Zhonghao Xinying and the proposed acquisition of Tianpu shares [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 771 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -2.9%. Revenue is expected to increase to 999 million yuan by 2027, with a growth rate of 9.5% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 139 million yuan in 2023 to 210 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.5% [3] - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 33.3% in 2023 to 34.8% in 2027 [3] Cost and Expense Analysis - The comprehensive gross margin increased by 0.2 percentage points to 32.5% in the first half of 2025, while the gross margin for the education training segment decreased by 1.3 percentage points to 41.2% [2] - The report indicates an increase in expense ratios, with the sales expense ratio rising to 2.6% and the management expense ratio increasing to 7.3% in the first half of 2025 [2] Investment and Future Outlook - The company experienced an expanded investment loss due to the seasonal losses of its associate company Zhonghao Xinying, which reported a net loss of 144 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [2] - The report anticipates that the company's profitability will improve in the second half of 2025 as Zhonghao Xinying enters its peak revenue season [2]