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盘江股份(600395):公司信息更新报告:Q2盈利显著修复,煤价上行和电力放量助力改善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q2 earnings have significantly improved, driven by rising coal prices and increased electricity generation [3] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 243 million, 372 million, and 472 million yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 133.4%, 53.1%, and 26.9% [3] - The company's coal production capacity is expected to grow, and the integration of coal, electricity, and renewable energy is progressing steadily [3] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 5.1 million yuan, down 113.67% year-on-year [3] - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 2.67 billion yuan, up 7.6% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 99.48 million yuan, an increase of 200 million yuan quarter-on-quarter [3] - The average selling price of coal in H1 2025 was 684.8 yuan per ton, down 22.3% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 513.2 yuan, down 20.3% year-on-year [4] - The company's electricity generation in H1 2025 was 7.13 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 380% [4] Capacity and Project Development - The company has commenced production at the Mayixi No. 1 well, contributing an annual capacity of 2.4 million tons, with further projects underway [5] - As of June 2025, the company has established a total installed capacity of 2.64 million kilowatts for thermal power generation and 3.9396 million kilowatts for renewable energy [5] - The company benefits from policy incentives, including a 15% corporate income tax reduction starting in 2025, which supports its expansion in renewable energy [5]