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无锡振华(605319):系列点评一:2025Q2业绩符合预期,电镀半导体双轮驱动

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.29 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.2%, and a net profit of 200 million yuan, up 27.2% year-on-year [1]. - The Q2 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue of 690 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, and a net profit of 110 million yuan, up 32.1% year-on-year [1]. - The company's strategic transformation focuses on "intelligent traditional business + large-scale new energy business," benefiting from the continuous growth in new energy vehicle sales [1][2]. - The company has deepened its partnership with SAIC Motor and expanded its customer base to include Tesla, Li Auto, and Xiaomi, contributing to new growth curves [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the gross margin reached 29.8%, an increase of 6.2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by product and customer structure optimization [2]. - The company has shown superior management and cost control capabilities compared to industry peers, achieving leading gross and net profit margins [2]. - The acquisition of the electroplating business has established a second growth curve, with a net profit margin of approximately 60% [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 3.52 billion, 4.45 billion, and 5.28 billion yuan, with net profits of 500 million, 640 million, and 790 million yuan respectively [3][5]. Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 1.99, 2.58, and 3.17 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 14, and 11 [3][5]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with revenue growth rates of 39.0%, 26.5%, and 18.7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][11].