湖南裕能（301358）：Q2盈利拐点已现，龙头优势显著

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hunan YN is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the company has shown a significant improvement in profitability, with a notable turning point in Q2 [9] - The company experienced a 33% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, with Q2 revenue reaching 7.6 billion yuan, a 21% increase from the previous quarter [9] - The report highlights the company's strong market position, with a 55% increase in shipments and a rising proportion of high-end products [9] - Price increases for lithium iron phosphate have been confirmed, leading to an expected further increase in net profit per ton in the second half of 2025 [9] - The company is projected to achieve a shipment of 1 million tons in 2025, maintaining a 40% year-on-year growth [9] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 41.36 billion yuan, with a decline of 3.35% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is estimated at 1.05 billion yuan, reflecting a 77.15% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The report forecasts a gradual increase in earnings per share (EPS) from 0.78 yuan in 2024 to 3.97 yuan in 2027 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 44.84 in 2024 to 8.82 in 2027, indicating improved valuation over time [1] Market Data - The closing price of Hunan YN is 34.98 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 26.61 billion yuan [6] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 2.23 [6] - The stock has seen a 52-week range between 24.67 yuan and 54.78 yuan [6] Operational Highlights - The company has maintained a stable expense control with a period expense ratio of 3.6% in Q2 [9] - The operating cash flow for Q2 was -0.8 billion yuan, showing an improvement compared to the previous quarter [9] - The company is expected to benefit from the rising prices of lithium carbonate and the increasing proportion of high-end products [9]