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安井食品(603345):2025年半年报点评:短期业绩承压,关注旺季动销

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.604 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, while net profit decreased by 15.8% to 676 million yuan [1]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its new product development strategy and actively engaging with large B-end and new retail customers, aiming for a multi-category and multi-channel layout [2]. - The company is facing short-term pressure on profitability due to rising raw material costs and increased depreciation and manufacturing expenses from new facilities [3]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.54 billion, 1.71 billion, and 1.90 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 3.4%, 11.3%, and 11.2% [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company's gross margin was 20.52%, down 3.39 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 8.89%, down 1.75 percentage points [3]. - The company achieved revenues of 3.759 billion yuan from frozen prepared foods, 2.416 billion yuan from frozen dishes, and 1.241 billion yuan from frozen noodles and rice in H1 2025 [2]. - The company’s revenue from various channels includes 6.043 billion yuan from distribution, 0.555 billion yuan from direct sales, 0.423 billion yuan from supermarkets, and 0.583 billion yuan from new retail and e-commerce, with year-on-year changes of -1.15%, +7.22%, -1.76%, and +20.92% respectively [2]. Profit Forecast and Financial Indicators - The projected revenue for 2025 is 16.213 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.2% [5]. - The projected earnings per share for 2025 is 4.61 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 17 [5][10]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 11.37% in 2025, increasing to 12.68% by 2027 [9].