Zhejiang Xinao Textiles (SH:603889) Changjiang Securities·2025-08-26 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 2.55 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million yuan, an increase of 1.7% year-on-year. In Q2, revenue was 1.45 billion yuan, down 0.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 170 million yuan, also down 0.4% year-on-year [2][5]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.55 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.7%. For Q2, revenue was 1.45 billion yuan, down 0.4% year-on-year, and net profit was 170 million yuan, also down 0.4% year-on-year [2][5]. Business Segment Analysis - The cashmere business continued to grow, with revenue increasing by 16% year-on-year. However, the revenue from fine wool yarn and wool tops decreased by 3% and 16%, respectively, leading to a slight decline in overall revenue. The new capacity from the Vietnam plant is gradually contributing to revenue, but domestic demand is weak, and external demand is cautious due to tariffs [11]. Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for the main business improved by 0.8 percentage points to 21.4%, driven by lower production costs and product structure optimization. However, the increase in management costs and salaries due to the gradual production ramp-up at the new plants in Vietnam and Yinchuan led to an increase in selling and administrative expense ratios by 0.2 percentage points and 0.4 percentage points, respectively. The tax rate increased by 3.1 percentage points to 16.2%, which negatively impacted the net profit margin, which only increased by 0.2 percentage points to 10.6% [11]. Future Outlook - In the short term, the release of capacity from the Vietnam and Yinchuan plants is expected to drive order growth. The introduction of external investors from the UK, specifically Duncan, is anticipated to accelerate the upgrade of high-end cashmere spinning lines, injecting new momentum for sustainable development. In the medium to long term, the company's strategy of expanding capacity and product categories is expected to continue driving growth and market share acquisition. The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is estimated at 430 million, 480 million, and 520 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 11, 9, and 9 times. Additionally, under the assumption of a 50% cash dividend payout ratio, the estimated dividend yield for 2025 is approximately 5% [11].