Proya(SH:603605) Orient Securities·2025-08-27 01:49Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The mid-year report demonstrates the resilience of the company's multi-brand strategy, achieving a revenue and net profit growth of 7% and 14% respectively in a competitive beauty industry [11]. - The company has shown a good upward trend in profitability, with a gross margin increase of 3.56 percentage points, attributed to improved bargaining power over raw material procurement and reduced shipping costs [11]. - The company plans to issue H shares to enhance its international presence, which is expected to boost brand recognition and global influence [11]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million CNY) is projected to grow from 8,905 in 2023 to 14,156 in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 1,194 million CNY in 2023 to 2,330 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 14.6% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 3.01 CNY in 2023 to 5.88 CNY in 2027 [4]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 69.9% in 2023 to 73.6% in 2027, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [4]. - The net profit margin is projected to rise from 13.4% in 2023 to 16.5% in 2027, showcasing improved profitability [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been slightly adjusted, with EPS estimates of 4.44, 5.13, and 5.88 CNY respectively [3][12]. - The discounted cash flow (DCF) target valuation is set at 112.65 CNY [3][12].