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华利集团(300979):(次)新客户拉动收入较优,净利率环比回落

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 12.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.1% [4]. - The report anticipates a bottoming out of the fundamentals in 2025, with expectations for a rebound in 2026 and valuation improvement. Short-term factors such as old factory operating rates, order adjustments, and the launch of new factories in H2 are expected to continue to pressure net profit margins [2][4]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.51 billion, 4.16 billion, and 4.66 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 15, and 14 times [2]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - The company experienced a revenue increase driven by new customer acquisition, with Q2 sales volume rising by 6% to 66 million pairs and an average selling price increase of 3% to 111.3 yuan per pair [4][9]. Profitability Analysis - Q2 gross margin decreased by 7.1 percentage points year-on-year and 1.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 21.1%, primarily due to the ramp-up of new factories and production line adjustments. The company maintained strong cost control, with a decrease in expense ratios [4][9]. Future Outlook - The report expects a recovery in net profit margins in Q3 due to stable tax rates and recent efficiency improvements. The combination of stabilizing old customer adjustments and the continued growth of new customers is anticipated to drive a new growth cycle [2][4].