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隆鑫通用(603766):2025年中报点评:无极品牌持续向上,三轮车+割草机带来新增量

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [3]. Core Insights - The company's performance in Q2 2025 was impressive, with the Wuling brand showing upward momentum and significant contributions from the three-wheeler and lawn mower segments [3]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is set at 1.87 billion, 2.28 billion, and 2.54 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.3, 11.8, and 10.5 times [3]. - The motorcycle export market is expected to grow, and the company is well-positioned as a leader in the industry, with substantial growth potential in three-wheelers, garden machinery, and all-terrain vehicles [3]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 51.1 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, and a net profit of 5.67 billion RMB, up 71% year-on-year [8]. - The motorcycle business generated 72.7 billion RMB in revenue for H1 2025, reflecting a 23.1% increase, with a gross margin of 19.8% [8]. - The three-wheeler segment saw revenue of 8.8 billion RMB, a 38.7% increase, with exports contributing significantly to this growth [8]. - The lawn machinery segment experienced a revenue increase of 52.8% year-on-year, with riding lawn mowers showing a remarkable growth of 94.2% [8]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The total revenue forecast for the company is projected to reach 20.88 billion RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24.11% [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.91 RMB in 2025, with a projected P/E ratio of 14.32 times [9]. - The company's sales gross margin is anticipated to improve slightly, reaching 18.29% by 2025 [9].