hbky(SH:600985) Minsheng Securities·2025-08-27 04:31Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Huabei Mining (600985.SH) [4][6] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met expectations, with coal production and sales recovering on a quarter-on-quarter basis [1] - Revenue for H1 2025 was CNY 20.612 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 44.6%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 1.032 billion, down 64.9% year-on-year [1] - The report highlights a significant decline in coal prices and the impact on profit margins, with a projected net profit for 2025-2027 of CNY 1.715 billion, CNY 2.312 billion, and CNY 3.184 billion respectively [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of CNY 10.045 billion, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 49.6% and a year-on-year decrease of 4.9% [1] - The net profit for Q2 2025 was CNY 340 million, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decline of 74.7% and a year-on-year decline of 50.8% [1] - The company's coal production in Q2 2025 was 4.6 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 9.6% but an increase of 6.8% quarter-on-quarter [2] Coal Business - The average selling price of coal in Q2 2025 was CNY 747.6 per ton, down 32.8% year-on-year and 20.3% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The cost of coal was CNY 425.6 per ton, down 20.7% year-on-year and 18.1% quarter-on-quarter, leading to a gross profit margin of 43.1%, a decrease of 8.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] Coal Chemical Products - The report notes an increase in production and sales of coal chemical products in Q2 2025, with significant growth in methanol and ethanol production [3] - Ethanol production reached 13.3 million tons, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 76.4% and a year-on-year increase of 38.9% [3] Future Projections - The report forecasts a decline in revenue for 2025 to CNY 61.655 billion, with a projected net profit of CNY 1.715 billion [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be CNY 0.64 for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 21 times based on the stock price as of August 26, 2025 [4][5]