Jiayou International(SH:603871) HTSC·2025-08-27 05:28Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 15.20 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was RMB 4.08 billion, a decrease of 12.0% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 560 million, down 26.1% year-on-year. The second quarter saw a revenue of RMB 1.79 billion, a decline of 32.4%, and a net profit of RMB 300 million, down 33.9% year-on-year [1][3]. - Despite the overall decline in Mongolian coal imports, the company's cross-border multimodal transport business saw revenue and gross profit growth of 13.9% and 18.8% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for this segment [2][5]. - The supply chain trade services segment experienced significant pressure due to falling Mongolian coal prices, with revenue dropping 24.1% year-on-year to RMB 2.53 billion and gross profit down 63.9% to RMB 200 million [3][5]. Summary by Sections Cross-Border Transport - The company's cross-border multimodal transport business generated RMB 1.22 billion in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, with a gross profit of RMB 360 million and a gross margin improvement of 1.2 percentage points to 29.7% [2][5]. Supply Chain Trade - The supply chain trade services reported revenue of RMB 2.53 billion, a decline of 24.1% year-on-year, and a gross profit of RMB 200 million, down 63.9%, with a gross margin decrease of 8.5 percentage points to 7.7% [3][5]. African Projects - The company's projects in Africa generated RMB 310 million in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 34.2%, with a gross profit of RMB 180 million, up 40.4%, and a gross margin increase of 2.7 percentage points to 59.6% [4][5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards, with net profits expected to be RMB 1.02 billion, RMB 1.14 billion, and RMB 1.34 billion, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 22.5%, 28.6%, and 32.4% [5][12]. The target price is set at RMB 15.20, based on a PE ratio of 20.3x for 2025 [5][9].