博迁新材（605376）：业绩大幅改善，新一轮资本开支印证镍粉高景气度

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant improvement in its performance, with a revenue of 519 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing an 18.3% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 106 million yuan, up 93.3% year-on-year [1][2]. - The demand for AI servers is rapidly increasing, driving the demand for high-performance MLCCs, which in turn boosts the need for high-end nickel powder [3][4]. - The company is planning a capital expenditure of 297 million yuan for expanding its nickel powder production capacity, which is expected to reach 1,800 tons annually [4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 33.18%, with a notable increase in the gross margin of its core product, nickel powder, which reached 37.5%, up 13.8 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 20.35%, reflecting a 7.9 percentage point increase year-on-year [2]. - The average nickel price during the period was 125,000 yuan per ton, down 8.1% year-on-year, contributing to the recovery of the company's profitability [2]. Market Trends - The AI server market is expected to maintain strong demand in the second half of 2025, with a projected increase in MLCC stocking needs by nearly 25% [3]. - The automotive-grade MLCCs are also expected to provide incremental demand, with major manufacturers launching new products in this category [3]. Financial Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 240 million yuan, 334 million yuan, and 402 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 53x, 38x, and 31x [4][5].