劲仔食品（003000）：Q2阶段性承压，长期战略坚定

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company experienced a slight revenue decline in H1 2025, with a revenue of 1.12 billion yuan, down 0.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 110 million yuan, down 21.9% year-on-year. The second quarter saw a more significant decline, with revenue of 530 million yuan, down 10.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 40 million yuan, down 36.3% year-on-year [1][2][4] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue from fish products increased by 7.6% to 760 million yuan, while revenue from poultry products decreased by 24.0% to 200 million yuan, attributed to intensified competition in the quail egg sector. Revenue from bean products rose by 3.6% to 110 million yuan, and vegetable products fell by 10.7% to 34.05 million yuan [2] Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin decreased by 1.0 percentage points to 29.4% in H1 2025, with specific margins for fish products at 30.4%, poultry at 20.6%, bean products at 32.5%, and vegetable products at 24.9%. The net profit margin also declined by 2.8 percentage points to 10.0% [3] Strategic Outlook - The company is positioned as a single-product leader, with ongoing efforts to expand its product lines and channels. Despite short-term pressures from external competition and internal strategic mismatches, the long-term growth potential remains strong, particularly in high-end fish products and innovative quail egg offerings [4] Financial Projections - The company expects revenue growth rates of 3.2%, 12.5%, and 11.2% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reaching 2.49 billion, 2.80 billion, and 3.11 billion yuan. Net profit projections are -12.9%, +31.5%, and +13.0% for the same years, resulting in net profits of 254 million, 334 million, and 380 million yuan [4][10]