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广博股份(002103):2025年半年报业绩点评:把握IP衍生品新机遇,外销盈利能力改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth with a revenue of 1.171 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.38%, and a net profit of 76 million yuan, up 4.22% year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on the IP derivative business, which is expected to reach a market size of 202.8 billion yuan in China by 2025, indicating significant growth potential [2] - The overseas business has continued to grow, with revenue reaching 443 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.54%, and a gross margin of 32.43%, up 1.99 percentage points year-on-year [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.171 billion yuan, a 2.38% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 76 million yuan, reflecting a 4.22% growth [1] - The company expects revenues of 2.958 billion yuan, 3.198 billion yuan, and 3.502 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 6.5%, 8.1%, and 9.5% [4] - The net profit forecast for the same years is 167 million yuan, 202 million yuan, and 233 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.9%, 20.8%, and 15.5% [4] Business Strategy - The company is leveraging its brand, design, IP resources, manufacturing scale, and channel advantages to enhance its competitive edge [1] - The IP matrix includes both externally licensed IPs such as "Zhu Xian" and "Detective Conan," and self-developed IPs like "Xi Xi Jiang" and "MIMO," aiming to expand product categories and improve IP operations [2] Market Outlook - The report highlights the potential of the IP derivative market in China, which is projected to grow significantly, providing a favorable environment for the company's strategic focus [2] - The overseas business is expected to continue its growth trajectory despite challenges in the international market, with a focus on high-value products and large orders [3]