Jiayou International(SH:603871) Minsheng Securities·2025-08-27 07:08Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's performance in Q2 2025 met expectations, with significant growth in the African land port project and a 40.4% year-on-year increase in gross profit for the first half of 2025 [1]. - The company is expected to see a steady increase in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected net profits of 1.206 billion, 1.469 billion, and 1.711 billion respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 13, 11, and 9 times [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.08 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.0% year-on-year, and a net profit of 560 million yuan, down 26.2% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 14% [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 1.79 billion yuan, down 32.4% year-on-year and 22.0% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 300 million yuan, down 34% year-on-year [1]. Business Structure - Supply Chain Trade: Revenue of 2.53 billion yuan in H1 2025, down 24.1% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 200 million yuan, down 63.9% year-on-year. The company imported nearly 3.6 million tons of coal from Mongolia, a year-on-year increase of nearly 70% [2]. - Cross-Border Multi-Modal Logistics: Revenue of 1.22 billion yuan in H1 2025, up 13.9% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 360 million yuan, up 18.8% year-on-year. The company expanded its logistics services across multiple land ports [2]. - Land Port Project: Revenue of 310 million yuan in H1 2025, up 34.2% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 180 million yuan, up 40.4% year-on-year. The project is seeing steady growth in traffic and cargo volume [3]. Shareholder Returns - The company has a dividend payout ratio of 48.8% in H1 2025, distributing a cash dividend of 0.2 yuan per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 1.8% based on the closing price of 11.38 yuan per share on August 26, 2025 [3]. Profit Forecast and Financial Indicators - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.492 billion, 11.340 billion, and 11.973 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.206 billion, 1.469 billion, and 1.711 billion yuan [5][10].