WTECL(SH:600157) Minsheng Securities·2025-08-27 08:21Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's performance in Q2 2025 showed a significant decline in revenue and net profit, with a year-on-year revenue decrease of 26.44% and a net profit drop of 89.41% [1] - The coal business experienced a notable decline in profitability, with a gross profit of 2.59 billion yuan in Q2 2025, down 81% year-on-year [2] - The electricity business, however, demonstrated resilience, achieving a gross profit of 1.64 billion yuan in H1 2025, an increase of 20.51% year-on-year, indicating a potential offset against coal price fluctuations [1][2] - The Haizetan coal mine project is expected to significantly enhance the company's operational performance and core competitiveness upon its launch in mid-2026 [3] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 296 million yuan, 555 million yuan, and 1.113 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.01, 0.03, and 0.05 yuan per share [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 10.676 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.44% year-on-year, and a net profit of 126 million yuan, down 89.41% [1] - Q2 2025 saw a revenue of 5.035 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 29.98%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 46.58% in net profit [1][2] Coal and Electricity Business - The coal production in Q2 2025 was 4.004 million tons, up 11.58% year-on-year, while coal sales reached 3.986 million tons, an increase of 12.33% year-on-year [2] - The average selling price of coal was 345.19 yuan per ton, down 52.96% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 280.18 yuan, down 19.84% year-on-year [2] - The electricity generation in Q2 2025 was 8.262 billion kWh, a decrease of 11.8% year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - The Haizetan coal mine project is projected to start trial production by mid-2026, with expectations of significantly improving the company's performance and competitiveness [3] - The company anticipates a recovery in performance in Q3 2025 due to a rebound in coking coal prices [3]