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乔锋智能(301603):25H1业绩大超预期,布局机器人等新兴赛道

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 120.90 CNY for the next six months [4]. Core Views - The company reported significantly better-than-expected performance in H1 2025, achieving revenue of 1.214 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 50.36%, and a net profit of 179 million CNY, up 56.43% year-on-year [1]. - The growth in revenue and profit is attributed to the development in downstream industries such as consumer electronics, new energy vehicles, molds, engineering machinery, medical devices, and aerospace, alongside a significant increase in production capacity [1][2]. - The company is actively expanding into the robotics sector, with established solutions and customer applications in the processing of components for humanoid robots, which is expected to open new growth avenues [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 736 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 67.47%, and a net profit of 104 million CNY, up 65.79% year-on-year [1]. - The company anticipates an upward revision of its full-year performance forecast to 360 million CNY, exceeding the previous market consensus of 260 million CNY [1]. Industry Outlook - The machine tool industry in China is entering a period of strong equipment replacement demand, supported by manufacturing recovery and domestic substitution trends [2]. - The production of metal cutting machine tools in China is projected to increase by 6.4% and 10.5% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, with H1 2025 showing a 13.5% year-on-year increase [2]. Product Development - Since 2020, the company has developed new products including CNC lathes, CNC grinders, high-end vertical lathes, and five-axis machining centers, which have started contributing to revenue [3]. - The company has made significant investments in the new energy vehicle and 3C sectors, leading to improved customer structure and breakthroughs in major client acquisition [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 2.604 billion CNY in 2025, 3.362 billion CNY in 2026, and 4.319 billion CNY in 2027, with net profits expected to be 355 million CNY, 476 million CNY, and 635 million CNY for the respective years [3].