Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The film market recovery has driven ticketing revenue growth, with the company achieving a revenue of 2.47 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14%. The online entertainment ticketing business generated 1.18 billion, up 13% year-on-year. The film market benefited from the Spring Festival blockbusters, achieving a box office of 29.2 billion, a 23% increase year-on-year, with 641 million attendees, up 17% year-on-year [1][8] - The company has a robust pipeline of films, controlling the distribution of 24 films and developing 4 films independently, both historical highs. The company has maintained a top-two box office position during the Spring Festival for five consecutive years [2][9] - The company is actively exploring IP business layouts around film content, having developed IPs like "Panda Plan" and "Time's Son," and collaborating with external IPs [2][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 178 million, a decrease of 37% year-on-year, in line with previous forecasts. The non-GAAP net profit was 235 million, down 33% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in gross margin [2][9] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 38%, down 15 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to increased investments in the performance business and underperformance of certain film projects [2][9] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 4.601 billion, 5.330 billion, and 5.837 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with adjustments of -4%, -2%, and -2%. The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is 359 million, 561 million, and 668 million for the same years, with adjustments of -37%, -20%, and -21% [3][15] - The current valuation corresponds to P/E ratios of 25x, 16x, and 13x for the respective years [3][15] Market Position and Strategy - The company continues to enhance its competitive edge in the performance business, which has become a primary strategy, with significant growth in local performances and overseas markets [1][8] - The company is also expanding its ticketing services for major artists and events, with a notable increase in gross merchandise value (GMV) for local performances exceeding 80% and overseas performance GMV increasing by 300% year-on-year [1][8]
猫眼娱乐（01896）：电影大盘回暖，部分内容承压，持续投入演出业务