AVIC SAC(SH:600760) Changjiang Securities·2025-08-27 09:14Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 14.628 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.136 billion yuan, down 29.78% year-on-year. This decline is attributed to product delivery progress and structural adjustments [4][9]. - In Q2 2025, the company's gross margin decreased both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter due to product structure impacts, but the net profit margin increased quarter-on-quarter, supported by government subsidies and tax refunds [9]. - The company's contract liabilities increased significantly, indicating a gradual realization of downstream demand, while construction in progress also grew, reflecting ongoing capacity expansion to meet future demand [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 14.628 billion yuan, a decrease of 32.35% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.136 billion yuan, down 29.78% year-on-year [4][9]. - In Q2 2025, the gross margin was 11.99%, a decrease of 0.65 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 0.87 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 7.97%, an increase of 0.59 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 0.55 percentage points year-on-year [9]. Demand and Capacity - The contract liabilities at the end of H1 2025 reached 7.532 billion yuan, an increase of 113.47% from the beginning of the period, indicating a rise in prepayments and a gradual realization of downstream demand [9]. - The construction in progress increased by 31.50% to 2.29 billion yuan, primarily due to investments in new facilities, which will support the company in capitalizing on the upcoming demand surge [9]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 3.877 billion yuan, 4.570 billion yuan, and 5.529 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14%, 18%, and 21% [9].