MANGO(SZ:300413) Tianfeng Securities·2025-08-27 09:51Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 5.964 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 14.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.763 billion yuan, down 28.31% year-on-year, primarily due to increased content and R&D investments leading to higher costs in the internet video business [1][4]. - Membership and advertising revenues showed signs of recovery in Q2 2025, with membership revenue reaching 2.496 billion yuan, a slight year-on-year increase, and advertising revenue at 1.587 billion yuan, significantly rebounding quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. Summary by Sections Membership and Advertising Business - Membership revenue for H1 2025 was 2.496 billion yuan, with a 14.24% year-on-year increase in average monthly active users. The effective playback volume of Mango TV's dramas grew by 69% year-on-year [2]. - Advertising revenue reached 1.587 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a notable recovery in Q2. The number of brands participating in advertising increased by 21% year-on-year [2]. Content Production and Innovation - The company has a rich reserve of nearly 100 dramas, with recent hits like "National Color and Fragrance" achieving over 40 million average views on Mango TV [2]. - The micro-short drama strategy is accelerating, with 1,179 new micro-short dramas launched in H1 2025, a nearly sevenfold increase from the previous year [3]. Financial Forecast - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 13.829 billion yuan, 14.772 billion yuan, and 15.796 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of -2%, 7%, and 7% respectively. The net profit forecast for the same period is adjusted to 1.449 billion yuan, 1.648 billion yuan, and 1.739 billion yuan [4][5].