Anjoy food(SH:603345) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-08-27 11:32Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company experienced a slight increase in revenue of 0.8% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, reaching 7.6 billion yuan, but faced a significant decline in net profit by 15.8% to 680 million yuan [1] - The company is focusing on new product development and channel expansion to drive growth, particularly through customized products for supermarkets [2][11] - The acquisition of 70% of Jiangsu Dingwei Thai Food Co., Ltd. and 100% of Dingyifeng Food (Taicang) Co., Ltd. allows the company to enter the frozen baking sector, enhancing its product offerings [5] Revenue Performance - For the first half of 2025, revenue from various product categories showed mixed results, with frozen noodle products and frozen prepared foods declining by 3.9% and 1.9% respectively, while frozen dishes increased by 9.4% [2] - In the second quarter of 2025, revenue from frozen noodle products decreased by 10.8%, while frozen dishes saw a growth of 26.1% [2] Sales Model Breakdown - In the first half of 2025, revenue from different sales channels showed a decline in traditional distributors and supermarkets, while new retail and e-commerce channels grew by 20.9% [3] - The company is actively collaborating with major supermarkets like Walmart and Metro to develop customized products, aiming to leverage scale for cost advantages [3][11] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 20.5%, down 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 8.9%, down 1.9 percentage points [4] - In the second quarter of 2025, the gross margin further declined to 18.0%, reflecting ongoing pressure from rising raw material costs and increased promotional efforts [4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 15.78 billion yuan, 16.94 billion yuan, and 18.16 billion yuan respectively, with expected growth rates of 4.4%, 7.3%, and 7.2% [12] - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 1.39 billion yuan, 1.56 billion yuan, and 1.73 billion yuan, indicating a recovery in profitability after a projected decline in 2025 [12]