BJLE(SZ:002392) HTSC·2025-08-27 11:41Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of RMB 8.76 [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 34.57 billion for H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.22%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 2.18 billion, up 0.18% year-over-year [1][7]. - The second quarter revenue was RMB 17.87 billion, showing a year-over-year increase of 6.15% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 7.08%. However, the net profit for Q2 was RMB 911.84 million, down 31.22% year-over-year and 27.90% quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to higher-than-expected R&D expenses [1][7]. - The company is actively investing in emerging businesses following a management change, which is expected to enhance growth potential [1][7]. Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the overall revenue from the refractory materials segment was RMB 21.40 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.20%. The gross margin for the overall contracting of refractory materials was 22.27%, down 1.02 percentage points year-over-year [2]. - The company has upgraded its production capacity for refractory materials to 900,000 tons per year, which, along with cost control measures, has improved revenue from the overall contracting business [2]. R&D and Cash Flow - The expense ratio for H1 2025 was 12.35%, an increase of 1.85 percentage points year-over-year, with R&D expenses accounting for 7% of total expenses, up 1.61 percentage points year-over-year [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities for H1 2025 was -RMB 1.31 billion, a significant decrease of 99.83% year-over-year, primarily due to low customer payment rates [3]. Investment Activities - The company made significant investments totaling RMB 314 million in the reporting period, a year-over-year increase of 51.42%. This includes a RMB 200 million investment in Shanghai Zhenliang Intelligent Technology Co., acquiring a 9.95% stake in the emerging chip design sector [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 has been revised down by 8.46%, 8.40%, and 10.06% respectively, with expected profits of RMB 3.60 billion, RMB 4.11 billion, and RMB 4.47 billion [5]. - The company is assigned a PE valuation of 29 times for 2025, with an adjusted target price of RMB 8.76, reflecting an increase from the previous target of RMB 7.59 [5].