JA SOLAR(SZ:002459) Soochow Securities·2025-08-27 12:36Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company has experienced significant cash flow improvement and a substantial reduction in losses for Q2 2025, indicating a positive trend despite ongoing competitive pressures in the photovoltaic industry [3][8] - The company is expected to benefit from supply-side reforms in the industry, with revised profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicating a potential recovery in profitability [3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 239 billion yuan, a decrease of 36% year-on-year, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 25.8 billion yuan, a decline of 195.1% year-on-year [8] - The Q2 2025 revenue was 132.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 38.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24% [8] - The company’s gross margin for Q2 2025 was -1%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 4 percentage points [8] - The company’s cash flow from operations for the first half of 2025 was 45.1 billion yuan, an increase of 342.4% year-on-year, with Q2 cash flow reaching 37.2 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 120.9% [8] Profit Forecasts - The revised profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are as follows: net profit of -3.12 billion yuan in 2025, 1.05 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.03 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 33%, 134%, and 188% respectively [3][9] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -0.94 yuan in 2025, 0.32 yuan in 2026, and 0.92 yuan in 2027 [9] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 12.53 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 41.47 billion yuan [6] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -13.02 for 2025, indicating expected losses, but a projected P/E of 13.38 for 2027 as profitability is anticipated to improve [9]