PDD(US:PDD) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-27 14:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Pinduoduo (PDD) [1][11][23] Core Insights - Pinduoduo's revenue for Q2 2025 reached RMB 104 billion, a 7% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations [5][6] - The company has launched a "100 billion support" initiative to assist merchants, which is expected to enhance long-term growth and ecosystem optimization [6][9] - Short-term profits have exceeded expectations due to effective cost control and a stable monetization rate, despite a decline in gross profit and margin [7][9] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Pinduoduo are as follows: - 2023: RMB 247,639 million - 2024: RMB 393,836 million - 2025E: RMB 404,873 million - 2026E: RMB 439,021 million - 2027E: RMB 501,347 million - Non-GAAP net profit forecasts: - 2025E: RMB 102,430 million - 2026E: RMB 138,571 million - 2027E: RMB 168,911 million - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 27.3% in 2025, decreasing to 24.4% by 2027 [2][14] Market Data - As of August 26, 2025, Pinduoduo's closing price was USD 123.91, with a market capitalization of USD 17.59 billion [3][4] - The stock has a 52-week high of USD 155.67 and a low of USD 87.11 [3] Strategic Initiatives - The "100 billion support" strategy aims to enhance merchant support and drive high-quality development, with significant investments in agricultural products leading to a 47% increase in sales [6][9] - Pinduoduo is focusing on optimizing its cost structure, with total operating expenses at 31.1% of revenue, indicating improved cost control [7][9] Long-term Outlook - The report suggests that despite short-term performance pressures, Pinduoduo's long-term growth strategy remains intact, with expectations for improved monetization rates and market share [11][9] - The company is diversifying its overseas business to mitigate tariff risks and enhance its competitive position [11][10]