新奥股份(600803):私有化进展顺利,核心利润稳健增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing steady growth in core profits despite a slight decline in overall revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025. The core profit reached 2.736 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.38% [1][2] - The privatization process of the company is progressing smoothly, which is expected to enhance upstream and downstream integration and collaboration after the transaction is completed [3][4] - The company has signed a long-term gas supply agreement with Chevron, which is anticipated to significantly boost its direct sales gas business [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 65.991 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.47% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.408 billion yuan, down 4.82% year-on-year. However, the net profit after deducting non-recurring items increased by 21.13% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 32.262 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.54%, but a net profit of 1.431 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year decrease of 1.23% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 46.58% [2] - The company’s retail gas sales volume for the first half of 2025 was 12.95 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, with industrial and commercial users accounting for 75.6% of the total [3] - The company’s projected core net profits for 2025-2027 are 5.695 billion yuan, 6.399 billion yuan, and 7.107 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.84 yuan, 2.07 yuan, and 2.29 yuan [6][8]