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美畅股份(300861):龙头地位稳固,钨丝加速渗透

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.01 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 32%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 85 million RMB, down 69% year-on-year [2]. - The company's diamond wire product sales volume was 52.88 million kilometers, a decline of 26.83%, primarily due to the increasing penetration of tungsten wire diamond products, leading to a decrease in industry demand [3]. - The company has a strong competitive position in the diamond wire industry, maintaining a leading market share despite the challenges posed by intensified competition and declining product prices [3]. - The company is investing 230 million RMB to establish a new project with a monthly production capacity of 6 million kilometers of tungsten wire, which is expected to enhance product competitiveness and risk resilience [4]. - The financial position of the company is robust, with cash and financial assets increasing by nearly 3 billion RMB, and a low debt-to-asset ratio of 13.6%, ensuring the company can navigate through industry cycles [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2, the company achieved a revenue of 580 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 7% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 38%, with a net profit of 580 million RMB, down 28% year-on-year but up 120% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company's revenue from the diamond wire business was 853 million RMB, a decline of 39.7%, with a gross margin of 10.37%, down 18.15 percentage points [3]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on the development of raw materials and has made significant progress in core materials such as yellow wire and tungsten wire, which is expected to stabilize raw material supply and reduce production costs [4]. - The acceptance and demand for tungsten wire diamond products are increasing in the downstream market, which is anticipated to positively impact the company's profitability [4]. Profitability Forecast - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 210 million RMB, 310 million RMB, and 430 million RMB respectively, reflecting the company's strong financial health and competitive advantages in the diamond wire market [5].