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中航成飞(302132):产品交付节奏修复,25H2有望提速

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for AVIC Chengfei [1] Core Views - The company is expected to accelerate its product delivery pace in the second half of 2025, with a projected annual revenue of 80 billion RMB for 2025, indicating a significant recovery from the first half [2][3] - The company has seen a substantial increase in contract liabilities and inventory, suggesting proactive preparations for production and delivery [3] - The company is focusing on technological innovation and expanding into new areas such as hydrogen energy drones, which positions it well for future growth [4] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 20.702 billion RMB, a decrease of 38.99% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.913 billion RMB, down 68.33% [1] - The second quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 17.393 billion RMB, an increase of 5.9% year-on-year and a significant 426% increase quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company expects net profit attributable to shareholders to grow significantly from 2025 to 2027, with projections of 3.787 billion RMB, 4.764 billion RMB, and 5.710 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 3272.88% in 2025 [4][8]