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老板电器(002508):25H1中报点评:Q2营收利润恢复增长,盈利能力企稳回升

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 28.48, indicating an expected upside from the current price of RMB 19.79 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 4.60 billion for H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.58%, but Q2 revenue showed a recovery with RMB 2.53 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.57% [3][10]. - The net profit for H1 2025 was RMB 0.71 billion, down 6.28% year-on-year, while Q2 net profit increased by 2.96% to RMB 0.37 billion [3][10]. - The company plans to distribute a mid-term dividend of RMB 0.5 per share, continuing its dividend strategy [3][10]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the gross profit margin reached 48.56%, up 1.26 percentage points year-on-year, leading to a net profit margin of 14.68%, an increase of 0.20 percentage points [4][11]. - For H1 2025, the overall gross profit margin was 50.53%, a year-on-year increase of 2.25 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 15.45%, down 0.61 percentage points [4][11]. - The company maintains a strong market position, with offline retail market shares of 31.2% for range hoods, 31.4% for stoves, and 27.7% for all-in-one machines, all ranking first in the industry [4][12]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from range hoods and gas stoves was RMB 2.21 billion and RMB 1.16 billion, respectively, both showing a decline of 2.4% and 1.1% year-on-year [4][12]. - The dishwasher and all-in-one machine segments achieved revenues of RMB 340 million and RMB 300 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 6.0% and 6.2% [4][12]. Valuation and Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from national subsidy policies, which have positively impacted retail performance, offsetting challenges from the real estate downturn [5][13]. - EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 1.78, RMB 1.90, and RMB 2.08, respectively, with a PE valuation of 16x for 2025 [5][13].