SAILUN GROUP(SH:601058) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-08-28 05:05Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 17.587 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.05%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.831 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.90% [1] - The company's tire production reached 40.6 million units in the first half of 2025, up 14.7% year-on-year, with sales of 39.14 million units, an increase of 13.3% year-on-year [2] - The company is accelerating its global expansion, with production bases in Vietnam, Cambodia, Mexico, and Indonesia, and plans for a new project in Egypt [3] - Due to the impact of U.S. tariffs, the company's net profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted to 3.96 billion yuan, with expected net profits of 5.01 billion yuan and 5.62 billion yuan for 2026 and 2027, respectively [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue was 9.175 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.76% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.08%. The net profit for the same period was 792 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.11% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 23.70% [1][2] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 24.35%, down 5.42 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 8.93%, down 5.50 percentage points year-on-year [2] Global Expansion - The company has established a significant overseas production capacity, with plans to produce 9.75 million all-steel radial tires, 49 million semi-steel radial tires, and 137,000 tons of non-road tires across its international bases [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects a decline in net profit for 2025 due to U.S. tariffs, with a forecast of 3.96 billion yuan, while projecting growth in subsequent years [4][6]