Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of 5% to 15% over the next 6 to 12 months [7]. Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, but operational quality continues to improve, with opportunities for growth driven by deep collaboration with China Mobile and the AI wave [3][4]. - The company achieved a revenue of 1.133 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 28.03%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -93 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.78% [4][5]. - The overall gross margin improved to 59.91% in H1 2025, up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin products [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: The company is projected to generate revenues of 3.315 billion yuan in 2024, 3.413 billion yuan in 2025, and 4.074 billion yuan in 2027, with a growth rate of -26% in 2024 and a recovery to 13% by 2027 [3][6]. - Net Profit Forecast: The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be -226 million yuan in 2024, 81 million yuan in 2025, and 274 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery [3][6]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): The EPS is forecasted to be -0.19 yuan in 2024, 0.07 yuan in 2025, and 0.23 yuan in 2027 [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is a leading player in the cybersecurity sector, leveraging resources from China Mobile to expand its presence in government and enterprise security scenarios [5]. - The company has maintained the number one market share in 19 product categories, including data security and industrial internet security, while other products rank among the top in the market [5]. - The collaboration with China Mobile focuses on enhancing personal and family security markets, with innovative products like "Dedicated Line Guardian" to meet digital transformation security needs [5].
启明星辰(002439):毛利率持续改善,依托中移动持续拓展政企安全场景