FSL(SZ:000541) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-28 07:18Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Outperform" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company's Q2 2025 performance was below expectations, with H1 2025 revenue of 4.386 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 115 million yuan, down 40% year-on-year [5][8] - Traditional business segments, including general lighting and LED packaging, faced challenges due to external factors such as tariff disputes and market demand slowdown, while new business segments showed growth [8] - The company achieved a gross margin of 17.86% in Q2 2025, a decrease of 2.52 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to reduced demand in the general lighting sector [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - H1 2025 total revenue is projected at 9.022 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -0.3% for 2025 [7] - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 304 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 31.8% [7] - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 359 million yuan in 2026 and 388 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 29 and 27 [7][8]