lu'an EED(SH:601699) Xinda Securities·2025-08-28 07:31Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company has shown significant results despite a decrease in profits, with increased coal production offsetting the decline in coal prices. In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a raw coal output of 28.63 million tons and a sales volume of 25.25 million tons, marking a notable recovery year-on-year [5][6] - The company is strategically expanding its resources to address the short lifespan of existing mines, focusing on resource expansion, project construction, technological upgrades, mergers and acquisitions, and product upgrades to enhance its competitive edge [5][6] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, with cash dividends accounting for 50% of the net profit attributable to shareholders in 2024, reflecting strong cash flow and asset quality [6] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 14.069 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.348 billion yuan, down 39.44% [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a single-quarter operating revenue of 7.101 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 21.05%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.92% [2] - The company's gross profit margin decreased significantly from 45.6% to 38.4% year-on-year due to a drop in coal prices, with the average selling price of coal falling from 683 yuan/ton to 516 yuan/ton [5] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.278 billion yuan, 2.695 billion yuan, and 2.964 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.76, 0.90, and 0.99 yuan per share [8]