King's Luck(SH:603369) Western Securities·2025-08-28 07:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][3] Core Views - The company experienced a short-term performance pressure with a revenue decline of 4.84% to 6.95 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 9.46% to 2.23 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, attributed to strategic adjustments in a shrinking competitive environment [1][3] - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue fell significantly by 29.69% to 1.85 billion yuan, and net profit decreased by 37.06% to 585 million yuan, indicating a more pronounced decline compared to H1 2025 [1][2] - The company is focusing on long-term development by rationally adjusting its strategies despite short-term challenges [3][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue decreased by 4.84% to 69.50 billion yuan, and net profit fell by 9.46% to 22.29 billion yuan [1] - Q2 2025 saw a more severe decline, with revenue down 29.69% to 18.52 billion yuan and net profit down 37.06% to 5.85 billion yuan [1][2] - The company reported a negative net cash flow of 350 million yuan in Q2 2025, indicating a contraction in operational activities [2] Product and Regional Performance - High-end product categories faced revenue pressure, with specific declines such as a 7.4% drop in revenue for the Special A+ category [2] - Revenue from provincial regions showed an overall decline, with Jiangsu province experiencing a 6.1% drop, while out-of-province revenue increased by 4.8% [2] Cost and Profitability - The company faced rising expense ratios in Q2 2025, which eroded profit margins, leading to a net profit margin decline of 3.7 percentage points [3] - Despite a slight decrease in gross margin by 0.2 percentage points, the overall profitability was impacted by higher expense ratios [3] Future Outlook - The report projects EPS for 2025-2027 to be 2.31, 2.44, and 2.56 yuan respectively, reflecting a cautious outlook amid external challenges [3][5] - The company is expected to maintain a focus on long-term growth while navigating current market pressures [3]