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陕西煤业(601225):煤炭产销量稳中有进,下半年业绩回升可期

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report indicates that coal production and sales are steadily increasing, although performance is impacted by declining prices. Cost control remains stable [3] - The power business operates smoothly, with ongoing projects providing growth potential [3] - The second quarter's performance was under pressure due to falling coal prices and one-time tax impacts, but a recovery is expected in the second half of the year [3] - The coal main business is growing steadily, with quality production capacity gradually being released [3] - The coal-electricity integration strategy enhances performance and offers significant future growth potential [3][4] Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 77.983 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.19%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.638 billion yuan, down 31.18% [1] - In the second quarter, the company reported operating revenue of 37.821 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 20.46%, and a net profit of 2.834 billion yuan, down 54.55% [2] - The company’s coal production reached 87.3964 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.15%, and coal sales were 125.9892 million tons, up 0.92% [3] - The average coal price was 439.67 yuan/ton, down 23.81% year-on-year, while the cost of raw coal was 280 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.49% [3] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.39 yuan per share, totaling 382 million yuan, which represents 5% of the net profit for the period [6] - Future profit forecasts estimate net profits of 15.7 billion yuan, 16.8 billion yuan, and 17 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with EPS projected at 1.62, 1.73, and 1.75 yuan per share [6]