Workflow
东方甄选(01797):自营产品持续发力,盈利能力触底反弹

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at Neutral [2][7]. Core Insights - The company reported FY25 revenue of 4.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year decline of 32.7%, and an adjusted net profit of 174 million RMB, down 75.5% year-on-year. The performance aligns with expectations, primarily due to the separation from the "Yuhui Tongxing" livestream [5][6]. - The company's GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) for FY25 was 8.7 billion RMB, a decrease of 15.8% year-on-year, with the "Yuhui Tongxing" livestream contributing approximately 1.2 billion RMB. The self-operated product GMV reached 3.8 billion RMB, surpassing third-party product sales of 3.7 billion RMB [6]. - The company developed 732 self-operated products in FY25, a 50% increase from the previous year, leading to improved gross margins from 21.5% in the first half to 24.4% in the second half of FY25 [6]. - The user base is substantial, with 264,000 paid fans on the company's app, a 33.1% increase year-on-year, and an average annual spending of 7,200 RMB per paid fan. The company also has 42.22 million followers on Douyin [7]. - Marketing expenses for FY25 were 902 million RMB, with a marketing expense ratio of 20.5%, reflecting a 7.3 percentage point increase from FY24. The company anticipates maintaining high marketing expenses due to intense competition in the livestream e-commerce sector [7]. Financial Data and Forecast - The company forecasts adjusted net profits of 382 million RMB for FY26, 440 million RMB for FY27, and 538 million RMB for FY28, with revenue projections of 4.66 billion RMB, 5.32 billion RMB, and 5.97 billion RMB respectively [8][10].