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中国财险(02328):综合成本率大幅改善,承保利润与投资收益均向好

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in its comprehensive cost ratio, with both underwriting profit and investment income trending positively [1][8] - The report projects an increase in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with expected figures of 449 billion, 467 billion, and 503 billion respectively [1][8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 478.826 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 7.02% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 24.585 billion, reflecting a decrease of 15.70% compared to the previous year [1] - The latest diluted book value per share is 10.40, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.60 [1] Underwriting and Investment Performance - The company reported a net profit of 245 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 32.3% [8] - The underwriting profit for the same period was 130 billion, up 44.6% year-on-year [8] - The total investment asset scale reached 711.5 billion, with a 5.2% increase from the beginning of the year [8][16] Premium Growth and Market Share - The company's original premium income grew by 3.6% in the first half of 2025, with a market share of 33.5%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from the beginning of the year [8] - The premium income from auto insurance increased by 3.4%, with the proportion of personal auto insurance rising to 73.4% [8] Cost and Profitability Metrics - The comprehensive cost ratio improved to 94.8%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The expense ratio decreased to 23.0%, benefiting from strict cost control measures [8][15] Investment Strategy - The company has adjusted its investment strategy, increasing allocations to bonds and stocks while reducing the proportion of OCI stocks [8][16] - The total investment income for the first half of 2025 was 173 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.6% [8]