劲仔食品（003000）：公司信息更新报告：短期利润有所承压，期待新品新渠道发力

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has experienced short-term profit pressure due to increased marketing expenses, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts. The expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected to be 320 million, 400 million, and 510 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.8%, 24.8%, and 26.1% [4][6] - The company is recognized as a leading player in the spicy snack segment and is expected to leverage seasonal demand through new product launches and marketing efforts [4][6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 0.5%, and a net profit of 110 million yuan, down 21.9% year-on-year [4][5] - The revenue breakdown for the first half of 2025 shows steady growth in fish products (+7.6%) while poultry products faced significant pressure (-24.0%). Overall, the company’s revenue from various product categories was 760 million for fish, 200 million for poultry, 110 million for bean products, and 30 million for vegetable products [5] - The company’s gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 29.5%, a decrease of 0.95 percentage points, with the second quarter gross margin at 28.9%, down 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [6][10] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.661 billion, 3.218 billion, and 3.956 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.3%, 20.9%, and 22.9% [7][9] - The expected net profit for 2025 is 323 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.8%, and for 2026 and 2027, the net profits are projected to be 403 million and 508 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 24.8% and 26.1% respectively [7][9] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the company are projected to be 17.9, 14.3, and 11.4 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][9] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratios are expected to decline from 4.4 in 2023 to 2.5 by 2027 [7][9]