Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group [3][9][16] Core Insights - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's revenue for the first half of 2025 decreased by 18.5% year-on-year to RMB 13.27 billion, and net profit fell by 15.6% to RMB 2.55 billion, which is in line with expectations [5][12] - The decline in performance is primarily due to the impact of centralized procurement on key oncology products, leading to a 60.8% drop in oncology product sales [6][13] - The company has made significant progress in business development (BD) collaborations, achieving four license-out agreements since February 2025, with total upfront payments of USD 260 million and milestone payments of USD 9.45 billion [7][14] Financial Performance - The finished drug sector saw a 24.4% decline in sales to RMB 10.25 billion, with oncology products contributing only 10.3% of total finished drug sales [6][13] - The gross margin decreased by 6.0 percentage points to 65.6%, while the selling expense ratio improved, decreasing by 6.4 percentage points to 23.0% [5][12] - R&D expenses increased by 5.5% year-on-year to RMB 2.68 billion, with a focus on innovative pipelines, including 27 key products in pivotal clinical trials [8][15] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 has been raised from RMB 0.44 to RMB 0.46, with further increases projected for 2026 and 2027 [9][16] - The target price has been adjusted from HKD 10.2 to HKD 12.7, indicating a potential upside of 31% [9][16]
石药集团（01093）：上半年业绩基本符合预期，创新管线持续投入