ATRenew(US:RERE) CAITONG SECURITIES·2025-08-28 08:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 4.992 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.2% [7] - The Non-GAAP operating profit was 121 million yuan, with a Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 2.4% [7] - The second-hand recycling business showed stable growth, with product (1P) revenue increasing by 34.0% to 4.56 billion yuan, benefiting from brand influence and enhanced supply chain capabilities [7] - The service (3P) revenue grew by 15.4% to 430 million yuan, with multi-category revenue increasing by 107% [7] - The number of offline stores reached 2,092, with 804 stores offering multi-category recycling services, which is expected to drive further growth [7] - The company effectively controlled overall expense ratios, with a Non-GAAP fulfillment expense ratio of 8.2% and a Non-GAAP sales expense ratio of 7.8% [7] - A three-year shareholder return plan was announced, with a commitment to return at least 60% of annual Non-GAAP net profit to shareholders from 2025 to 2027 [7] - The company is expected to see significant growth in Non-GAAP net profit, projected at 4.8 billion yuan in 2025, 7.1 billion yuan in 2026, and 10.6 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 15.0x, 10.2x, and 6.8x [7] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is projected to grow from 12,965.78 million yuan in 2023 to 21,173.14 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 31.4% in 2023 and 29.7% in 2025 [5][8] - The net profit is expected to turn positive in 2025, reaching 349.98 million yuan, with a staggering growth rate of 4,353.0% compared to the previous year [5][8] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.59 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 21.36 [5][8] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 8.7% in 2025, increasing to 16.6% by 2027 [5][8]